recession - RankMyAgent - Trusted resource about Buying, Selling and Renting https://rankmyagent.com/realestate RankMyAgent.com is the most-trusted source that brings home buyers, sellers and renters and investors a simplified approach to real estate information Tue, 25 Oct 2022 21:20:27 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.1 https://rankmyagent.com/realestate/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/cropped-rma100x100-32x32.png recession - RankMyAgent - Trusted resource about Buying, Selling and Renting https://rankmyagent.com/realestate 32 32 How to Navigate a Recession as a Canadian Home Seller https://rankmyagent.com/realestate/how-to-navigate-a-recession-as-a-canadian-home-seller/ Tue, 25 Oct 2022 21:20:26 +0000 https://rankmyagent.com/realestate/?p=1677 “Recession” is a scary word. We associate it with unemployment, a declining stock market, and other negative scenarios. An economic downturn could stress you out if you’re selling your home. A contracting and uncertain economy doesn’t usually yield top dollar for home sales. At RankMyAgent, we aim to make the home selling process more manageable. […]

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“Recession” is a scary word. We associate it with unemployment, a declining stock market, and other negative scenarios.

An economic downturn could stress you out if you’re selling your home. A contracting and uncertain economy doesn’t usually yield top dollar for home sales.

At RankMyAgent, we aim to make the home selling process more manageable. So this article explains what a recession entails and tips to sell your home for the best price during a recessionary environment.

What is a Recession?

The traditional definition of a recession refers to two consecutive quarters (three-month periods — so two consecutive quarters equal six consecutive months) of declining Gross Domestic Product (GDP). But this definition comes with numerous asterisks.

Even if Canada faces two declining quarters, we may not be in a recession. We continue to face record-low unemployment rates, and in a recession, unemployment peaks.

A recession depends on numerous factors like employment, consumer spending, and GDP. An “official” recession usually occurs once a group of leading economists looks at these factors and determines we’re in a recession.

What Can We Expect During a Recession?

A recession’s outcomes and contributing factors are a “Catch-22” — i.e., the presence of the factors indicates a recession, but the same circumstances also result from an economic downturn.

We usually see the following during a decline:

  • Layoffs: Businesses fear the unknown and want to reduce spending when the economy begins to tumble. You can expect layoffs in business departments that aren’t critical or where companies previously overhired.
  • Less consumer spending: People are also fearful when we hit a recession. We’re scared of losing our jobs or taking a loss in the stock market. As a result, we might spend less and save more of our income for a rainy day.
  • Depressed stock market: Investors may sell their stocks and choose safer investments. So, you can expect stock prices to decline. Some corporations also don’t fare well during a recession, and their stock price reflects that.
  • Higher interest rates: This isn’t true for all recessions. But in our case, a recession may be caused due to the Bank of Canada increasing borrowing rates to tamp down inflation. This would make buying a home and making mortgage payments more expensive.

These factors can turn the residential home market in favour of the buyer. We’re more cautious about making significant financial decisions in a recession. We’re also unsure whether we can hold our job or afford increasing interest rates.

As a result, there are fewer buyers on the market. We might wait until economic conditions are more positive and confident before applying for a mortgage and making the largest purchase of our life.

But the number of sellers remains the same or even increases during this time. Some Canadians may need to sell their second home to cover costs or downsize to afford their mortgage in a poor economic environment.

Tips for Selling Your Home During a Recession in Canada

1. Rethink if You Need to Sell

Housing prices tend to peak before an economic decline and slide once a recession becomes a reality.

Selling in the middle of the downturn might not bring you the best price. Downturns tend to be buyer markets, where homebuyers have more leverage. You won’t likely have the same bidding wars or unconditional offers we saw a year ago.

Sometimes, you might not need to sell an investment property or move into a larger home right now. It’s best to consider whether entering the real estate market is required.

2. Sell Sooner Rather than Later

Past recessions show a history of dipping home prices. If you plan to sell in the near future, it’s better to do it as soon as possible. You’re only going to face tougher selling conditions.

Otherwise, you should wait until the economy is more positive before you sell. Home prices tend to fare better when there’s financial prosperity among Canadians.

3. Don’t Overprice Your Home

You might be used to seeing bidding wars and homes selling for hundreds of thousands of dollars over asking. But the market right now might not have the same prospects. You should temper your expectations to something reasonable.

Working with a real estate agent can help you set a reasonable selling price. Additionally, a realtor can guide you towards getting the best dollar for your property. They might suggest minor renovations or staging to bedazzle the prospects.

4. Give Your Home Some Minor Renovation

Minor renovations, deep cleanings, and restoring curb appeal can help move your home on the market. These changes make your home shine in photos and showings.

You don’t need to overhaul your entire kitchen. It may not be worth it in the current environment since labour is in short supply — contractors aren’t as open to negotiations or discounts. At the same time, home prices are going down.

Contributing your own labour by refreshing walls with a coat of paint or deep cleaning your carpets may be what you need to increase your chances of selling. A clean and refreshed home can help potential homebuyers envision themselves living there.

5. Consider Renting your Property Out Instead

Cities like Toronto and Vancouver are seeing record-high rent prices because surging interest rates have left prospective buyers unable to purchase a home — therefore, many Canadians continue to rent.

Some sellers who aren’t getting the offers they hoped for have turned to the rental market because the sky-high rent prices make being a landlord much more appealing.

If you aren’t in a rush to sell, renting out your property until better economic conditions might be an option to get the best return on investment from your property.

Recessions don’t have to be scary. Yes, there’s a fear of layoffs and depressed stock prices, but things rebound eventually. If you’re planning to sell your home during a recession, it’s vital to temper expectations. You can’t expect your home to sell for the same amount that homes sold for during a growing economy.

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Tips to First-Time Real Estate Investors Navigating an Economic Recession https://rankmyagent.com/realestate/tips-to-first-time-real-estate-investors-navigating-an-economic-recession/ Fri, 21 Aug 2020 16:46:01 +0000 https://rankmyagent.com/realestate/?p=1289 The Canadian economy is beginning to open up. But chatter surrounding a recession still lingers. First-time real estate investors who missed their shot during the 2008 recession are setting their sights on a COVID-19-led recession to break into the world of real estate investing. But will a Coronavirus-led recession lead to the rock-bottom prices that […]

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The Canadian economy is beginning to open up. But chatter surrounding a recession still lingers. First-time real estate investors who missed their shot during the 2008 recession are setting their sights on a COVID-19-led recession to break into the world of real estate investing. But will a Coronavirus-led recession lead to the rock-bottom prices that we saw in 2008? Not necessarily. However, just because real estate prices aren’t hitting a new low, doesn’t mean it’s a bad time to invest in an income property.

In this article, we discuss the myth behind a COVID-19 recession resulting in the 2008-level real estate prices. We also provide some reason why now continues to be a good time to invest in real estate. Lastly, this article reflects on somethings to keep in mind for purchasing your first (or second or third) investment property. 

The Myth that Any Recession can Burst the Real Estate Bubble 

It’s often conventional wisdom that housing prices will decline during a recession, but this isn’t the always case. The 2008 financial crisis originated from subprime mortgages and the U.S. property market, among other factors, caused the decline in housing prices and subsequently the greater financial disaster. 

Subprime mortgages are not the reason for the possible recession that Canada could face. Now, the cause is the COVID-19, so it’s not likely that real estate prices will be affected as much as they were in 2008. Many experts across Canada believe that real estate prices may decline 5-10% at most due to COVID-19. Even though, until now, this hasn’t affected the market: monthly numbers from real estate boards across the country have continued to show a steady average price of the homes sold. 

COVID-19 is leaving many unemployed, reducing immigration to Canada, and providing us with economic uncertainty. However, the pressure exerted on the housing market by these factors is limited. Other COVID-19-related events, such as the slowdown of new housing constructions, are exerting upward pressure on real estate prices due to reduced supply. Further, if Canada can reopen its economy successfully and safely, the recession could have a smaller impact. 

Why You Should Consider Investing in Real Estate Anyways

The stock market’s prices have been jumping up and down due to on-going news about the Coronavirus. If you’re looking for a bit more stability in these unprecedented times, then residential real estate may be a good bet. 

As an income stream, real estate is relatively secure during a recession. Tenants will generally continue paying rent as they still have a legal obligation to do it. In contrast, a company whose stock you purchased may cut their dividends or the stock may see a sharp decline in value. 

Interest rates in Canada are still low, as the Bank of Canada attempts to stimulate the economy. This may reduce your cost of borrowing to purchase a home. If you can lock in a good mortgage rate for an investment property at this time, it’ll result in a better return on investment and cash flow down the road. 

A Few Best Practices for First-Time Real Estate Investors 

Just because now is a good time to invest, doesn’t mean you should jump right into any property you can get your hands on. If you purchase an overpriced property when you aren’t doing well financially, it could hurt you more than it could help you. 

Calculate your Cash Flow

In the world of real estate investing, cash flow is king. Cash flow is what you’re spending (cost of monthly mortgage payments and repaying other debts associated with the investment property) versus what you’re taking in (usually rental income). If you have a positive cash flow, you’re on a good track. Before buying an investment property, it’s important to run the numbers…. And, then, run them again to make sure you didn’t miss anything. When calculating your cash flow, make sure to ask yourself these questions:

● How much will your monthly mortgage payments be? 

● How much will renovations cost? 

● How much can you rent out the property for? 

● What happens if you can’t find a tenant to pay the price you’re looking for? 

Assess your Financial Position

It would be best if you also looked at your financial circumstance. Just because you have a good job today, doesn’t mean you’ll have one tomorrow. Especially not in the era of COVID-19. Would this investment still make sense if you were laid off or furloughed? Similarly, if you’re a business owner, could you manage the investment property’s mortgage if we face a second lockdown? Although residential real estate tends to be a safe investment, it’s essential to judge your financial position before committing to a purchase. 

High-Quality Properties in a High-Quality City

Finding the property with the lowest per-square-foot cost is usually not the best way to go. To find an investment property that will provide consistency in economic uncertainty requires buying in a high-demand area, even if it’s more expensive. This can better guarantee renter demand. 

Further, fixer-uppers are often of great value. You can renovate the property and get an even larger return on investment, however, there are some fixer-uppers you want to avoid. Properties with water damage or structural problems are often ones to avoid, especially as a first-time real estate investor. Even some veteran real estate investors stay away from these properties. 

We’re unsure if COVID-19 will bring a full-blown recession that’s as devastating as the one in 2008. However, it’s highly unlikely we’ll see the same kind of decline in home prices. Nevertheless, it may still be a good time to invest in residential property. Investment properties can provide a consistent income in times of uncertainty. But if you are a first-time investor, make sure you figure out your cash flow, assess your financial situation, and choose a high-quality property before making such a financial commitment.  

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